Cost-benefit analysis of livestock and poultry breeding in Shandong Province in the second quarter! | Cattle and sheep are profitable, poultry is at the profit and loss line, and pigs are losing money across the board!
Release time:
2021-08-12
★Pig:The profit and loss cost line of self-breeding and self-breeding of live pigs (120kg according to the average weight of fattening pigs) is 17.75 yuan/kg,Loss of about 162 yuan; The profit and loss cost line for fattening purchased piglets is 24.37 yuan/kg,Loss of 956 yuan.
★Poultry:MeatThe cost of chicken is about 8.4 yuan/kg, and each chicken loses about 2 yuan.; Meat duck 8.30 yuan/kg,Big Duck is on capital preservation(The gross profit of each duck of the contract account is about 1 yuan due to the guaranteed reserve price of the contract duck),Duckling at a loss; For laying hens, the equivalent egg cost is 8.2-9.2 yuan/kg,For modern large-scale chicken farms, in the capital preservation or a slight loss.For small farmers.,capital preservation or a slight profit.
★Cows:The daily feeding cost of dairy cows (25kg per day), equivalent to the average cost of kg of milk, is 3.89 yuan, and the average monthly profit is about 253 yuan. The yield is less than 6.6 tons at a loss.
★beef cattle and sheep:The profit and loss point of beef cattle fattening price is 31 yuan/kg, the profit per head of beef cattle self-breeding and self-breeding is 5000 yuan, and the profit per head of centralized fattening type is 2940 yuan. The profit of sheep self-breeding and self-breeding is 306 yuan per head, and the profit of centralized fattening type is 106 yuan per head. The profit of goat self-breeding and self-breeding is 492 yuan, and that of centralized fattening is 187 yuan.
1. pigs: prices continued to fall in the second quarter.

(I) self-propagation and self-breeding
1. Cost (per head): piglet 600 yuan, feed 1139 yuan, vaccine 30 yuan, medication 15 yuan, biosafety cost 30 yuan, utilities 25 yuan, artificial 70 yuan, depreciation of fixed assets 50 yuan, financial 20 yuan, death elimination 50 yuan, total 2029 yuan.
According to the average weight of fattening pigs 120kg, the cost per kg is 16.91 yuan.
2. Price profit and loss point: 16.91 *(1+5%)≈ 17.75 yuan/kg, of which an increase of 5% is weighted to consider factors such as breeding level, unknown cost and risk.
3. Current price: 16.4 yuan/kg for fattening pigs, with an average actual slaughter weight of 120kg.
4. Breeding income: 120 *(16.4-17.75)≈ -162 yuan/head.
5. Breeding risk: The current industrial investment risk factor is 5 points, and the main risk factor is biosafety risk.
(II) outsourced piglet fattening
1. Cost (per head): piglet 1400 yuan, feed 1139 yuan, vaccine 30 yuan, medication 15 yuan, biosafety cost 30 yuan, utilities 25 yuan, artificial 70 yuan, depreciation of fixed assets 50 yuan, financial 20 yuan, death and elimination of 60 yuan, totaling 2839 yuan.
According to the average weight of fattening pigs 120kg, the cost per kg is 23.66 yuan.
2. Price profit and loss point: 23.66 *(1+3%)≈ 24.37 yuan/kg, of which an increase of 3% is weighted to consider factors such as differences in breeding levels, unknown costs and risks.
3. Current price: 16.4 yuan/kg for fattening pigs, with an average actual slaughter weight of 120kg.
4. Breeding income: 120 *(16.4-24.37)≈-956 yuan/head.
5, breeding risk: the current industrial investment risk coefficient of 7 points, the main risk factor for the market price risk 4 points, biosafety risk 3 points.
Remark: The cost of piglets is 21-day-old weaned piglets, and the cost is equal to the cost of sows and other links in the early stage. Feed, medication, seedling use, water and electricity, labor, depreciation of fixed assets and finance are the expenses from the age of 21 days to the end of fattening. Fattening pigs refer to 120kg slaughter pigs. If the slaughter weight is lower than or more than this weight, it is calculated; the profit and loss point price is determined on the basis of the direct cost of all breeding elements, taking into account factors such as differences in the level of breeding in different scales of the industry, unknown costs and risks, etc., and the self-breeding mode is increased by 5% weighted, and the outsourcing piglet fattening mode is increased by 3% weighted. The current industrial investment risk coefficient is calculated at 1-10 points, the main risk factors include biosafety risk, price risk, quality and safety, policy risk (e. g. environmental protection, etc.) and force majeure.
2. broilers: price shocks, industry losses

1. Cost accounting:For white-feathered broilers, taking 38-42 days of breeding as an example, according to the current price of means of production, the average 2.5 of chicken seedlings is 3.8 yuan/chicken, the average feed-meat ratio is 1.46-1.51, the feed is 3.70 yuan/kg (about 3700 yuan/ton for broilers throughout the breeding cycle), and the comprehensive cost (including immunization, drug, labor, chicken, utilities, heating, land contract, living expenses, depreciation, maintenance, etc.) is about 3.5 yuan, etc, the total cost is about 20.8-24.06 yuan, which is 8.02-8.32 yuan/kg for chicken.
2. Profit and loss:At present, the accounting cost of broilers for slaughter needs to be calculated according to the seedling price at the time of seedling entry. Recently, broilers for slaughter are basically imported at a high price. At that time, the seedling price was about 4.4-4.5 yuan/piece, the average feed price was 3.70 yuan/kg, the slaughter weight was 2.75-3kg (larger than last month), the cost of each chicken was about 23.54 yuan, about 8.4 yuan/kg for chicken, and recently 7.60-7.80 yuan for chicken, each chicken loses about 2 yuan.
3. meat duck: big duck break even slightly surplus, duckling loss state
1. Cost accounting:For big ducks, for example, if they are raised for 37-40 days (increasing month by month due to seasonal influence) and produce more than 2.9kg of ducks, the comprehensive cost is about 23.8 yuan/duck based on the current price of means of production, including feed 17.3 yuan, medicine cost 1.5 yuan, seedling 3 yuan, artificial 1 yuan, depreciation 1 yuan, total 23.80 yuan, and 8.2 yuan/kg of ducks. Ducklings, for example, are raised for 26-28 days and ducks weighing more than 1.75kg on the market. The cost is about 13.4 yuan/duck, including feed 8.4 yuan, medicine 0.9 yuan, seedling 2.7 yuan, labor 0.7 yuan and depreciation 0.7 yuan, totaling 13.4 yuan, which is 7.66 yuan/kg for ducks.
2. Profit and loss:At present, meat ducks are out of the market. When they enter the seedlings, the big duck is 5.4 yuan/duck and the duckling is 4.6 yuan/duck. The cost of ducks is about 24.90 yuan/duck, which is 8.30 yuan/kg for ducks. The current price of ducks is about 8.40 yuan/kg. The ducks are in a state of capital preservation and the ducklings are in a state of loss. Contract ducks due to the guaranteed reserve price, the contract households per duck gross profit of about 1 yuan (cost transfer within the industrial chain).
4. layer: chicken prices high volatility, layer breeding capital preservation.

1. Cost accounting:Take the large-scale intensive breeding mode as an example, it can be eliminated for 500 days and can lay 18-21kg of eggs. Recently, chicken seedlings are relatively stable at 4-5 yuan per chicken. The cost of feed raw materials remains high. The total price of prepared materials is about 3000-3400 yuan/ton (the cost of wheat used is lower than that of corn). The cost of feed in the whole process is about 160-180 yuan/chicken, 5 yuan/chicken, and 5 yuan/chicken, the total investment is 180-200 yuan/chicken. If the egg income is calculated alone, it is equivalent to 2.25-2.5 yuan/kg. In actual production, since eliminated chickens are also an income, eliminated chickens can be sold for 16-20 yuan/chicken. After deducting the eliminated chicken income to offset part of the cost, it is equivalent to 160-186 yuan/chicken, equivalent to 8.2-9.2 yuan/kg of eggs. For small and medium-sized households with relatively extensive farming methods, the farming cost is slightly lower, about 7.6-8.2 yuan/kg.
2. Profit and loss:Judging from the current egg price of 8-8.8 yuan/kg, for modern large-scale chicken farms, they are at a capital preservation or a slight loss, while for small farmers, they are operating at a capital preservation or a slight profit.
5. cows: milk prices tend to rise, cows benefit better

1. Cost accounting:
(1) Primetime Cattle: A pregnant cow currently sells for 25,000-28,000 yuan, of which the price of a newborn cow is 5000 yuan. According to the calculation of 24 months (14 months of breeding and 10 months of pregnancy), its feeding cost is 8,000-10,000 yuan.
(2) Cattle production: Daily feeding cost of dairy cows (per kilogram of fresh milk): based on the average daily yield of 26 kilograms of dairy cows, the average cost of milk per kilogram of dairy cows is 3.89 yuan.
Cost (kg of milk per head per day): full price material cost 3 yuan/kg, epidemic prevention and water and electricity cost 0.72 yuan/kg, asset depreciation 0.17 yuan/kg, total fresh milk full cost 3.89 yuan/kg.
2. Breeding Income: The average selling price of fresh milk in the second quarter is 4.27 yuan/kg. According to the dairy cow with a yield of 8 tons per unit area, the annual benefit is 8000 ×(4.27-3.89)= 3040 yuan/head, and the average monthly profit is about 253 yuan. If the unit yield is less than 6.6 tons, it is at a loss.
6. beef and mutton: beef and mutton high shock, cattle and sheep benefits are considerable
(I) beef cattle
1. Cost (per head): the market price of common roughage is 600 yuan/ton, concentrated feed is 2900 yuan/ton, labor cost is 500 yuan/year, infrastructure depreciation is 200 yuan/year, water and electricity is 100 yuan/year, and vaccine drug breeding fee is 200 yuan/year.
2. Price: 35.62 yuan/kg for fattening cattle and 60 yuan/kg for calves.
3. Profit and loss point of fattening cattle price: 31 yuan/kg, 5000 yuan per head of beef cattle self-breeding and 2940 yuan per head of centralized fattening.
4. Profit measurement:
Professional fattening type: 13000 yuan, feed 5000 yuan/head, water and electricity 50 yuan/head, medication 50 yuan/head, artificial 200 yuan/head, depreciation of fixed assets 200 yuan/head, land rent and other 150 yuan/head, totaling 18650 yuan. According to the slaughter weight of 600kg, the cost per kg is 31.1 yuan. The current slaughter price of beef cattle is 36 yuan/kg, with a profit of 2940 yuan per head.
Self-reproduction and self-breeding: calf landing cost 4500 yuan, feed 2000 yuan/head, medication 50 yuan/head, hydropower 25 yuan/head, artificial 200 yuan/head, depreciation of fixed assets 200 yuan/head, land rent and other 75 yuan/head, totaling 7050 yuan. According to the current price of 13000 yuan/head, each head makes a profit of 5950 yuan. Large-scale breeding farms make a profit of about 5000 yuan per head due to the high cost of facilities, equipment, labor and land.
Benefits of cow farming (calf trading income minus costs of calf and cow forage, infrastructure, utilities, labor, etc.). Scale farms are about 5000 yuan/year/head; Beef cattle farmers have higher unit economic benefits than scale farms due to lower labor and roughage costs, about 6500 yuan/year/head.
(II) mutton sheep:
1) The sheep:
Self-breeding type, weaning lamb 1000 yuan/head, feed 825 yuan/head, medication 1 yuan/head, hydropower 1 yuan/head, artificial 144 yuan/head, depreciation of fixed assets 140 yuan/head, land rent and other 60 yuan/head, totaling 2171 yuan/head. According to 65kg of slaughter weight, the cost per kg is 33.4 yuan. In the second quarter, the average slaughter price of mutton sheep is 38.11 yuan/kg, with a profit of 306 yuan per head.
Centralized fattening type, weaning lamb 1200 yuan/head, feed 825 yuan/head, medication 1 yuan/head, hydropower 1 yuan/head, artificial 144 yuan/head, depreciation of fixed assets 140 yuan/head, land rent and other 60 yuan/head, totaling 2371 yuan/head. According to 65kg of slaughter weight, the cost per kg is 36.48 yuan. In the second quarter, the average slaughter price of mutton sheep is 38.11 yuan/kg, with a profit of 106 yuan per head.
2 The Goat
Self-breeding type, weaning lamb 600 yuan/head, feed 802 yuan/head, medication 15 yuan/head, hydropower 5 yuan/head, artificial 60 yuan/head, depreciation of fixed assets 11 yuan/head, land rent and other 15 yuan/head, totaling 1508 yuan/head. According to the slaughter weight of 50kg, the cost per kg is 30.16 yuan, the slaughter price of mutton sheep is 40 yuan/kg, and the profit per head is 492 yuan.
Centralized fattening type, weaning lamb 900 yuan/head, feed 802 yuan/head, medication 20 yuan/head, hydropower 5 yuan/head, manual 60 yuan/head, depreciation of fixed assets 11 yuan/head, land rent and other 15 yuan/head, totaling 1813 yuan/head. According to the slaughter weight of 50kg, the cost per kg is 36.26 yuan, the slaughter price of mutton sheep is 40 yuan/kg, and the profit per head is 187 yuan.


Source: Shandong Provincial Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau, if there is infringement, please contact delete.
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