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Pig prices against the trend of 3 consecutive rises, the Mid-Autumn Festival in 2021 is approaching "space pig prices" to make a comeback?
Release time:
2021-08-23
Pig prices against the trend of 3 consecutive rises, the Mid-Autumn Festival in 2021 is approaching "space pig prices" to make a comeback?
With the entry of the last ten days of August, the month of "Golden Nine and Silver Ten" is also closer. As many places in the country have gradually stepped out of the dog days, the temperature has gradually dropped, and the performance of individual autumn fat in the market has rebounded one after another, and consumers' pork demand The mood gradually warmed up. However, in September, the sentiment of market pressure and reluctance to sell was further intensified, and the tight supply of live pigs was further highlighted. In addition, students from most parts of the country returned home one after another, and the demand for collectivized pork gradually rebounded. It is expected that the rise in pig prices will be highlighted from September onwards!
On the whole, August 17, the domestic pig prices continued the downturn, although the pig prices showed a continuous rise in performance, but the market rally weak, "up and down," the market again highlighted, what is going on? In this regard, the industry analysis, the culprit of the rebound in pig prices has emerged!
According to the analysis of industry insiders, at present, the domestic pig price continues to be sideways at the bottom, and the culprit that pig prices can not rise and fall lies in the game between market supply and demand!
On the one hand, as August entered the second half of the year, the market's bullish sentiment rebounded, many farmers were reluctant to sell, the pace of pig slaughter slowed down, and the market slaughtering enterprises showed a certain pressure to collect pigs, which limited the performance of pig prices falling;
On the other hand, in the downstream market, the demand for pork is average. Although consumers are feeling fat after the beginning of autumn solar term, due to the obstruction of catering consumption, sporadic diseases in the country are still continuing. The demand for pork in the market is average. Traders in the wholesale market are not in a high mood to receive the goods, and the external adjustment of the white bars of the slaughtering enterprises is obviously blocked, which aggravates the rebound of the price-price-saving mood of slaughtering enterprises!
So, does this mean that the Mid-Autumn Festival "space pig" to make a comeback?
The answer is no! Although, in September, due to the arrival of the seasonal peak season, pork consumption gradually boosted the price of pigs. However, today is different from the past. On the one hand, the economic foundation of consumers has gradually improved. Pork has become a common food, and it will not be because of the arrival of the festival. There is a significant boost. After all, it is not a few decades ago that you can only eat a small amount of pork during the holidays. On the other hand, consumers' consumption habits have also changed. In the past, "no meat is not happy". Now many people have become more fond of healthy eating. Under the performance of pork substitution, it will also aggravate the sluggish performance of the market during the peak season.
In addition, with the full recovery of pig production capacity and the previous strong sentiment of farmers to hold back the sale of the fence, into September, the performance of the breeding end every high out of the fence is prominent, the market pig out of the fence or will be greatly increased! Superimposed, domestic sporadic cases for catering and tourism consumption of the blow, it is expected that before and after the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, the domestic pig price rise space or will be more limited, the author estimates that the pig price probability will not rise above 20 yuan/kg, not to mention the "space pig" made a comeback!
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